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Where Angels Fear To Tread - A Cornell Hockey Blog

Pedantic Pairwise Prognostication: Week of October 29, 2012

10/31/2012

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Michigan
Date of Game Against Cornell:
November 24
Analysis: The Wolverines have had some drama regarding the selection of their starting goaltender for the 2012-13 season.  Jared Rutledge was poised to be their starter, but in their five games that have occurred thus far, Rutledge has only played in the losses.  Michigan is 3-2-0 on the season with freshman Rutledge
                           tallying the losses to RIT and Miami and fellow freshman Racine tallying the wins against RIT, Bentley and
                           Miami.  Racine's save percentage over his games played is a respectable .9125, with Rutledge's being a
                           disappointing .8667.  Either way, they have to decide which goalie to roll with as CCHA games continue.
                           Key PWR Points: As of now, not very many.  Michigan has yet to be "Michigan" in this season.  A split
                           with Miami could prove to be useful, but a split with RIT and a win over Bentley is not as helpful as one
                           would like.  Michigan begins CCHA play this week.  They will face Northern Michigan, Michigan State,
                           Notre Dame, and Bowling Green before meeting the Big Red in NYC.  Michigan will need to pick up more
                           than a split against most teams to be truly valuable in pairwise.

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Ferris State
Date of Game Against Cornell:
December 28
Analysis: The Bulldogs of Ferris State haven't been as dominant as they would like, though they are still in the top 20 of the USCHO.com poll.  They're even on the season with a 2-2-2 record, having begun CCHA play last weekend with a split.  That said, Ferris State has been improving, beginning the season with a loss and a tie and garnering a complete split last weekend.  The Bulldogs will need to keep improving this season.
Key PWR Points:  Pairwise points against Ferris State thus far are few and far between.  We will have a
                           direct comparison with RPI so their tie against RPI will not be as meaningful in terms of pairwise.  Ferris
                           State's win and tie against Mercyhurst could help us in terms of TUC assuming Mercyhurst does well
                           enough in Atlantic Hockey to be a TUC.

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Maine
Date of Possible Game Against Cornell:
December 29
Analysis: Maine has not been off to the start expected by the university or others.  Maine was selected fifth in Hockey East, but while finishing just above half in the league, not many thought Maine would drop six of its first seven games.  Maine will need to start scoring again.  The only time they managed to score
                           more than 2 goals was in their sole win of the season.  Maine has been outscored by a margin of 20-7 this
                           season.  If Maine wants to get rolling, they will need to start clicking to score some goals.
                           Key PWR Points:  So far, there are fewer points than Michigan.  Maine beat only Army in the opening
                           weekend's Ice Breaker Tournament.  The Black Bears dropped their first game to Notre Dame and more
                           recently were swept by St. Lawrence and Providence.  Maine is going to need to get its scoring together
                           as it wades deeper into its Hockey East play if Cornell hopes to gain meaningful PWR points from a
                           comparison.

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Minnesota-Duluth
Date of Possible Game Against Cornell:
December 29
Analysis:  Minnesota-Duluth has been middling so far this season, starting off 2-3-1. The scoring for the season, however, has been exactly even, with UMD gaining 14 goals to the 14 of its opponents.  UMD needs to get scoring consistently as WCHA play continues.
Key PWR Points:  UMD has not swept, nor has it been swept, by any teams this season.  With splits against Ohio State and Notre Dame and a loss and tie against Wisconsin, UMD has not gone down
                            easily.  They do not allow teams to sweep them, but at the same time, they have not been able to sweep
                            a team.  The splits will be meaningful to some degree in PWR, but to be very meaningful in PWR for the
                            Big Red, UMD will need to sweep a few series.

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Denver
Date of Games Against Cornell:
January 4 and January 5
Analysis: Denver is shaping up to be the biggest game for Cornell this season, if all things hold.  As one of two teams in the country that has been playing for weeks that is still undefeated, Denver is likely the
                            highest-ranked opponent that Cornell will face this season.  Denver is ranked #3 in the USCHO.com poll
                            and is currently at #2 in the WAY TOO EARLY PWR rankings.  Five is the magic number for Denver. 
                            Denver has scored exactly five goals in all four of its wins, allowing in one and two goals.  Denver has not
                            pitched a shutout yet, but it has not needed to with its impressive offense.  Denver continues WCHA play
                            until it meets Yale and UNH in November and if it keeps up what it is doing, it could be ranked higher than
                            #3 by the time Cornell and Denver meet.
                            Key PWR Points:  As of now, Denver has wins over UMass-Lowell (a team seemed to be outperforming
                            expectations thus far, seen especially in its win over Colorado College but has not been able to win again
                            since then), Air Force, and Michigan Tech (who earned a split with #2 in the country Minnesota). 
                            Denver is going to be a team the Big Red could get major PWR points for beating.

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Colorado College
Date of Games Against Cornell:
October 26 and October 27
Result: 2-0 Cornell, 3-2 Cornell
Analysis: Colorado College begins its conference play this weekend against Wisconsin.  With Cornell's sweep over the Tigers, Colorado College has dropped out of the USCHO.com poll.  In the past three games, the Tigers have not scored more than two goals, a huge difference from the five and six goal games that the Tigers had against Clarkson and Air Force.  Hopefully the Tigers get their scoring back on
                            track as we wish them the best of luck in the rest of their season.
                            Key PWR Points:  Obviously wins over Clarkson could be garnered first-hand, but a sweep of the Golden
                            Knights are a good thing to have.  Air Force, always dominant in Atlantic Hockey, usually pops onto being
                            a team under consideration by the end of the season, especially with its own wins.  The comparison win
                            over Air Force will not be lost.  If the Tigers do well in the WCHA, their wins will be incredibly important for
                            the Big Red.

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